Neapolitan
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 54
Wolverhampton · Cavani Fashion Forward Handicap · 6f 20y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Newcastle | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Newcastle | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-06-04 | Ripon | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/02/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/02/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/06/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/08/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/10/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |