5

Christmas Is Comin

2yo Gelding · 9-1

Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 20y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off 50/1 but did show something to work on when fifth of 12 in novice at Salisbury (6f, good to soft) on debut 25 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Salisbury 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f Goo 12721/085
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Salisbury55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20265th50/10%64%+0.64