3

Lowcountry

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 20y

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tenth of 12 in novice at Salisbury (6f, good to soft, 40/1) on debut 25 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Salisbury 21/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Goo 13021/085
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Salisbury510th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/202610th40/10%18%+0.18