IvyArcIvyArc
12

Picnic Princess

2yo Filly · 8-10

Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 20y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

15,000 gns yearling, Ardad filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 7f winner Zip and 6f (including at 2 yrs) winner Valentine Catcher. Dam, 7.4f/1m winner. Looked to be learning as the race wore on when fifth on heavy ground at Beverley 16 days ago. Upped to 6f and she's capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 5f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Beverley45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20265th16/116%67%+0.51