7

Redrosecastana

2yo Gelding · 9-1

Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 20y

#8

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Timeform

Commentary

Little short-term promise after 2 runs.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f Goo 1338/0854 @ Catterick 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS26/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Catterick47th6th+1
2026-08-08Ayr59th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20269th28/10%0%0.00
26/08/20267th150/10%14%+0.14