IvyArcIvyArc
1

Thames Waterman

2yo Gelding · 9-11

Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f 20y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled March 26. 25,000 gns yearling, Rajasinghe colt. Brother to 6f winner Rajaking. Dam 6f-7f winner. Strong in the betting and knew his job when making a winning debut over 5f here in April. Off since (gelded in that time) but he retains plenty of potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f21y Std 13010/045
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-10Wolverhampton51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20261st15/890%100%+0.10