11
Black Treasure
2yo Filly · 8-13
Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 6f 20y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength73%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Chester | 2 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |