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Beautiful Rumour

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 20y

#12

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Sogann gelding who looked more clued up than on debut but could still only run to a poor level when fourth of 6 in a Southwell novice (5f) 12 days ago. Low-grade handicaps will be more his bag moving forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f16y Std 13616/0844 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 4f215y Std 1333/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Southwell44th4th0
2026-08-16Southwell49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength80%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20269th80/10%0%0.00
03/09/20264th150/10%40%+0.40