7
Not That Guy
3yo Gelding · 9-5
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 20y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |