3
Chale Chalo
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73
Wolverhampton · Download The Raceday Ready App Selling Handicap · 7f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength62%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 08/10/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |