5

Here I Bow

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 72

Wolverhampton · Download The Raceday Ready App Selling Handicap · 7f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful 7f winner when trained in France last year. However, has finished soundly beaten all 5 starts in turf handicaps for new yard this season. Cheekpieces/tongue strap reached for on all-weather debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Vichy 16/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 124 · HIGHER CLASS16/07C1C5 @ Deauville 05/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Lyon-Parilly 09/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 122 · HIGHER CLASS9/09C1C5 @ Le Mans 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 7f3y GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 83 par30/044OR 834 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 82 · 1m31y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 7f216y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 80 par5/084OR 804 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 77 · 7f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 77 par5 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m113y GS 135 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 75 par31/085OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Epsom Downs58th8th0
2026-08-20Newmarket45th4th+1
2026-08-05Brighton48th7th+1
2026-05-11Windsor411th10th+1
2026-04-30Yarmouth47th6th+1
2025-10-06Le Mans?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/076/105/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20256th66/10%38%+0.38
05/08/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
09/09/20255th22/10%20%+0.20
06/10/20252nd50/10%86%+0.86
30/04/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
11/05/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
05/08/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
20/08/20265th33/10%56%+0.56
31/08/20268th9/153%0%-0.53