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4

Piazza

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 72

Wolverhampton · Download The Raceday Ready App Selling Handicap · 7f 36y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved model of late, building on her Ffos Las second when opening her account at Kempton (7f) in August. Matched that form in spite of steady gallop when finding only one too good at Yarmouth (1m) 16 days ago and she's of interest again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 04/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 5f GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS4/0534 @ Chepstow 16/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f16y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Nottingham 07/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 1287/0854 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 71 · 7f Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 67 · 7f Sta 130 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 67 par29/065OR 676 @ Epsom Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 7f3y Goo 135 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Ffos Las 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 63 · 7f80y Gd 134 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 63 par4/086OR 635 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 7f Sta 130 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Yarmouth 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m3y GS 142 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 71 par30/086OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Yarmouth62nd3rd−1
2026-08-19Kempton51st1st0
2026-08-04Ffos Las62nd3rd−1
2026-07-16Epsom Downs67th8th−1
2026-06-29Kempton55th5th0
2025-08-30Sandown44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0530/084/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20254th10/1195%0%-0.95
16/06/20253rd7/491%60%-0.31
07/08/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
30/08/20254th15/261%25%-0.36
29/06/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
16/07/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
04/08/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
19/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
30/08/20262nd10/382%75%-0.07