7
Station Bar
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 64
Wolverhampton · Download The Raceday Ready App Selling Handicap · 7f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Bath | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Kempton | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Yarmouth | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |