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7

Cloch Nua

7yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 54

Wolverhampton · Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 142y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped encouragingly back from a break when third at Newcastle in April and not disgraced having rare start on turf the following month, but he's been off the track since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 25/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 61 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark25/03/2025 · OR 61 par25/036OR 616 @ Doncaster 25/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 61 · 7f6y Goo 131 · beat its mark25/04/2025 · OR 61 par5 @ Wolverhampton 24/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m142y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 61 par24/115OR 616 @ Wolverhampton 13/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 130 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 60 par6 @ Newcastle 29/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 58 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark29/12/2025 · OR 58 par29/126OR 586 @ Southwell 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 03/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 56 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 56 par3/026OR 566 @ Newcastle 20/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 54 · 1m6y Std 134 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m100y Goo 129 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 54 par4/056OR 54projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-04Beverley66th6th0
2026-04-20Newcastle63rd3rd0
2026-02-03Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-01-22Southwell66th6th0
2025-12-29Newcastle64th4th0
2025-12-13Wolverhampton610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0313/123/024/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/03/20254th6/492%40%-0.52
25/04/20256th10/147%50%+0.03
24/11/20256th50/10%29%+0.29
13/12/202510th40/10%18%+0.18
29/12/20254th9/153%63%+0.10
22/01/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
03/02/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
20/04/20263rd11/142%85%+0.43
04/05/20266th14/126%62%+0.35