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6yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 51
Wolverhampton · Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 142y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Southwell | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Southwell | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |
| 28/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 27% | -0.29 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 16/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |