9

Malakai Kite

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 58

Wolverhampton · Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 142y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't looked straightforward in maidens and ran no sort of race on handicap debut at Bath 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS17/0445 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS19/0554 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f80y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS23/0645 @ Lingfield 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 59 · 7f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 59 par1/085OR 596 @ Bath 02/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m Goo 129 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 59 par2/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Bath69th9th0
2026-08-01Lingfield53rd2nd+1
2026-06-23Ffos Las45th3rd+2
2026-05-19Lingfield53rd2nd+1
2026-04-17Bath44th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0419/0523/061/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20264th28/10%40%+0.40
19/05/20263rd25/10%75%+0.75
23/06/20265th66/10%50%+0.50
01/08/20263rd13/266%50%-0.16
02/09/20269th33/10%20%+0.20