
Malakai Kite
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 58
Wolverhampton · Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 142y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |