Pretty Spirited
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 54
Wolverhampton · Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 142y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 19/05/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |