8
Rogue Officer
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 53
Wolverhampton · Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 142y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nottingham | 6 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Newcastle | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 20/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/04/2026 | 15th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |