9
Amrum
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 62
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#12
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength28%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.9
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | BHA64 | 8th | 9th | −0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA57 | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 12/05/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |