Baloo's Blues
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 63
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2024 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 16/05/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |