Magic Runner
4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 52
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 02/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 10/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 27/03/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |