8
Sahm Naif
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 62
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Leicester | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |