10

Banana

7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 48

Wolverhampton · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f 21y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has a decidedly ordinary strike rate but again ran creditably when third of 9 in minor event at Lingfield (5f, AW, 4/1) 21 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Has bit more on her plate now returning to handicap company, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 02/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 52 · 5f21y Std 128 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 52 par2/096OR 522 @ Bath 14/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 51 · 5f160y Hvy 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 22/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 51 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 51 par22/096OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 50 · 5f21y Std 121 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 11/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 48 · 5f21y Std 123 · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 48 par11/106OR 486 @ Bath 30/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 50 · 5f10y Hvy 122 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 5f16y Goo 135 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 50 par3/076OR 506 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 50 · 5f42y GF 135 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 49 · 5f6y Std 135 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 49 par25/086OR 49projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-08-05Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-07-03Chepstow62nd2nd0
2025-10-30Bath610th10th0
2025-10-11Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2025-10-04Wolverhampton64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/094/103/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20258th18/15%22%+0.17
14/09/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
22/09/202510th10/147%18%-0.29
04/10/20254th18/15%40%+0.35
11/10/20252nd7/282%89%+0.07
30/10/202510th14/126%10%-0.16
03/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
05/08/20264th13/891%40%-0.51
25/08/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04