Basholo
7yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 58
Wolverhampton · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f 21y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 07/11/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 13/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 28/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |