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9

Harry Mole

4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 55

Wolverhampton · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f 21y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Typically gave his running when fourth of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (5f, good to firm, 7/2) 19 days ago. Clearly has a race of this nature in him.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Catterick 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS18/1055 @ Wolverhampton 25/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f21y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 60 · 6f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 60 par25/045OR 605 @ Carlisle 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 57 · 5f Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 54 · 5f Gd 129 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 54 par5/066OR 546 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 56 · 5f10y Goo 136 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 56 par5 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 57 · 5f15y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 57 par25/075OR 576 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 57 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Carlisle 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 56 par27/086OR 56projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Carlisle64th4th0
2026-08-08Ayr63rd3rd0
2026-07-25Chester53rd2nd+1
2026-06-13Bath62nd2nd0
2026-06-05Thirsk62nd2nd0
2026-05-18Carlisle55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1018/0525/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength66%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20254th66/10%63%+0.63
25/11/20254th66/10%57%+0.57
25/04/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
18/05/20265th22/10%56%+0.56
05/06/20262nd9/153%91%+0.38
13/06/20262nd11/486%92%+0.07
25/07/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
08/08/20263rd11/271%82%+0.11
27/08/20264th7/282%70%-0.12