2

Koffee And Kale

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60

Wolverhampton · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f 21y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran creditably from a mark which continues to ease when fourth of 9 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 22 days ago. Visor back on and Murphy now takes over in the saddle.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 5f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 75 par7/105OR 755 @ Ripon 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Yarmouth 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 5f42y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 73 par13/055OR 735 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 70 · 5f Sta 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 70 par25/065OR 705 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 67 · 5f143y GF 148 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Epsom Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 7f3y GF 135 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 65 par30/076OR 655 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 63 · 6f12y GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 61 · 6f12y Goo 132 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 61 par24/086OR 61projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Windsor64th4th0
2026-08-13Windsor56th5th+1
2026-07-30Epsom Downs64th4th0
2026-07-09Doncaster57th6th+1
2026-06-25Newcastle55th4th+1
2026-06-13Leicester57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1013/0630/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength56%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
25/04/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
13/05/20262nd3/184%75%-0.09
13/06/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
25/06/20265th15/261%64%+0.03
09/07/20267th22/10%33%+0.33
30/07/20264th17/255%50%-0.05
13/08/20266th4/179%50%-0.29
24/08/20264th11/271%63%-0.09