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4

Love Alive

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 59

Wolverhampton · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f 21y

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner in February for Martin Dunne but inconsistent since. Some promise on debut for this yard when third of 8 at Thirsk in July and not seen to best effect at Brighton last time, so isn't one to write off returning to the all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 13/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 71 · 6f16y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 71 par13/014OR 715 @ Wolverhampton 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 5f21y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Southwell 28/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 69 · 4f214y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 69 par28/025OR 695 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 69 · 5f21y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Redcar 25/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 68 · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 68 par25/055OR 685 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 66 · 5f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 65 · 5f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 65 par25/065OR 655 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 61 · 5f215y Goo 135 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 61 par5/086OR 61projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Brighton65th5th0
2026-07-24Thirsk53rd2nd+1
2026-06-25Newcastle511th10th+1
2026-06-08Leicester53rd2nd+1
2026-05-25Redcar56th5th+1
2026-03-13Wolverhampton59th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0113/0325/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/20267th20/10%45%+0.45
03/02/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
28/02/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
13/03/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
25/05/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
08/06/20263rd18/15%60%+0.55
25/06/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
24/07/20263rd18/15%71%+0.66
05/08/20265th3/184%0%-0.84