7

Sheik Yerbouti

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 56

Wolverhampton · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f 21y

#9

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden who failed to build on the promise of his qualifying run when seventh of 8 in handicap at Ffos Las (5f, good to firm) 34 days ago. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 11/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m Sta 142 · HIGHER CLASS11/0244 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS23/0544 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f21y Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS16/0646 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 59 · 5f Gd 134 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 59 par12/086OR 59projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Ffos Las67th7th0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton43rd1st+2
2026-05-23Salisbury411th9th+2
2026-02-11Kempton48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0223/0516/0612/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20268th150/10%0%0.00
23/05/202611th200/10%9%+0.09
16/06/20263rd200/10%71%+0.71
12/08/20267th18/15%14%+0.09