3
Clipsham Noble
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 50
Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday-Ready Handicap · 1m 5f 219y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Leicester | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |