Echo Valley
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 51
Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday-Ready Handicap · 1m 5f 219y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Chepstow | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bath | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nottingham | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-02-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 3 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/02/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 400/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |