Le Rouge Chinois
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday-Ready Handicap · 1m 5f 219y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 24/01/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |
| 23/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |