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6

Pink Walls

6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday-Ready Handicap · 1m 5f 219y

#9

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Poor on the Flat for Lisa Williamson in 2023 and no promise over hurdles for current yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength73%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 25/03/2023 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 52 · 1m142y Std 127 · beat its mark25/03/2023 · OR 52 par25/036OR 526 @ Wolverhampton 11/04/2023 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 49 · 1m4f51y Std 124 · beat its mark11/04/2023 · OR 49 par5 @ Chester 15/09/2023 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 46 · 7f1y Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2023 · OR 46 par15/095OR 466 @ Wolverhampton 27/10/2023 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m142y Std 119 · beat its mark27/10/2023 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/11/2023 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m1f104y Std 121 · beat its mark17/11/2023 · OR 45 par17/116OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 10/12/2023 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 45 · 1m4f51y Std 125 · beat its mark10/12/2023 · OR 45 par4 @ Stratford 19/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 2m70y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS19/0445 @ Stratford 16/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 62 · 2m70y Goo 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Stratford 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 62 · 2m6f7y GF 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 62 par12/075OR 62projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Stratford5+1
2026-07-12Stratford54th3rd+1
2026-06-16Stratford58th7th+1
2026-05-08Market Rasen4+2
2026-04-19Stratford412th10th+2
2026-04-04Haydock4+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0327/1019/0412/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/03/20235th50/10%50%+0.50
11/04/20236th80/10%0%0.00
15/09/202310th200/10%18%+0.18
27/10/20239th150/10%11%+0.11
17/11/20238th200/10%13%+0.13
10/12/20236th200/10%55%+0.55
19/04/202612th250/10%8%+0.08
16/06/20268th200/10%36%+0.36
12/07/20264th100/10%40%+0.40