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Sumatran Tiger

9yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 50

Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday-Ready Handicap · 1m 5f 219y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Multiple winner in Jersey over the years who made the frame in a pair of novice hurdles last autumn. However, was beaten a long way out at Uttoxeter on most recent outing in July and plenty to prove now returning to this code.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 19/12/2020 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12119/12C?C0 @ Pornichet 14/01/2021 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 125C0 @ Chantilly 25/02/2021 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 13225/02C?C8 @ Pornichet 27/03/2021 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 71 · 1m2f96y Std 123 · below its mark27/03/2021 · OR 71 par4 @ Plumpton 20/12/2022 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m4f114y Sft 151 · HIGHER CLASS20/1246 @ Bath 01/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 54 · 1m3f137y Goo 135 · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 54 par4 @ Stratford 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS6/1044 @ Huntingdon 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m3f137y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Doncaster 28/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 93 · 2m3f88y Goo 162 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 93 par28/115OR 93projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Uttoxeter5+1
2025-11-28Doncaster59th8th+1
2025-11-02Huntingdon42nd0th+2
2025-10-06Stratford44th2nd+2
2025-08-01Bath65th5th0
2022-12-20Plumpton48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1227/036/1028/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/202011th40/10%33%+0.33
14/01/20212nd33/10%92%+0.92
25/02/202110th10/147%44%-0.04
27/03/20213rd7/163%80%+0.17
20/12/20228th125/10%30%+0.30
01/08/20255th80/10%43%+0.43
06/10/20254th150/10%40%+0.40
02/11/20252nd14/126%80%+0.54
28/11/20259th20/10%27%+0.27