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7

Archer's Grace

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 72

Yarmouth · SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap · 7f 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promise when runner-up first 2 starts before comfortably landing the odds at Lingfield in April. Off since a good fourth on handicap/turf bow at Salisbury the following month but that form has worked out well and this well-bred filly remains unexposed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 29/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/1044 @ Kempton 18/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 6f Sta 126 · HIGHER CLASS18/0345 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f2y Std 12820/0455 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 73 · 6f213y Gd 135 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 73 par23/055OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-23Salisbury54th4th0
2026-04-20Lingfield51st1st0
2026-03-18Kempton42nd1st+1
2025-10-29Kempton42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1018/0320/0423/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
18/03/20262nd5/696%67%-0.29
20/04/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
23/05/20264th6/168%77%+0.08