Magic Box
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 73
Yarmouth · SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap · 7f 3y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Newcastle | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Ayr | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-07-23 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Hamilton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 07/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |