Percy's Star
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72
Yarmouth · SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap · 7f 3y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Leicester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -14.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |