6

Piscean Star

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72

Yarmouth · SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap · 7f 3y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful in a newcomers race at Kempton last summer. Mixed record since but his mark looks a bit more realistic now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 11/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS11/0842 @ Newmarket 23/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR - · 6f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS23/0825 @ Chelmsford City 18/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 76 · 7f Std 135 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 76 par18/095OR 764 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 77 · 7f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 77 par5/084OR 774 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 76 par20/084OR 765 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f15y Std 134 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 74 par3/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Southwell55th5th0
2026-08-20Newmarket46th5th+1
2026-08-05Kempton44th3rd+1
2025-09-18Chelmsford City52nd2nd0
2025-08-23Newmarket213th9th+3
2025-08-11Kempton41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0823/0818/095/0820/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
23/08/202513th14/126%37%+0.11
18/09/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
05/08/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
20/08/20266th50/10%44%+0.44
03/09/20265th4/179%50%-0.29