5
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3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 73
Yarmouth · SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap · 7f 3y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 02/07/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |