2

Wetsand

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 75

Yarmouth · SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap · 7f 3y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't kick on from promising start as a juvenile but eased plenty in the weights and she capitalised equipped with a first-time visor when edging a tight finish at Lingfield (turf). Not quite in same form there since but slow pace was probably against her.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newmarket 01/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 87 par1/111OR 87C1 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 86 · 1m2f96y Hvy 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 86 par4 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 85 · 7f14y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 85 par5/044OR 854 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 82 · 7f3y GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 80 · 7f218y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 80 par31/054OR 804 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 77 · 7f173y GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 77 par5 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m6y Goo 133 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 75 par7/075OR 755 @ Lingfield 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 7f GF 133 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Lingfield 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 75 · 7f135y Goo 135 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 75 par1/085OR 75projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-07-22Lingfield51st1st0
2026-07-07Pontefract56th6th0
2026-06-24Carlisle47th6th+1
2026-05-31Thirsk48th7th+1
2026-04-30Yarmouth45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1130/047/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/202510th14/126%0%-0.26
15/03/20267th50/10%0%0.00
05/04/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
30/04/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
31/05/20268th22/10%30%+0.30
24/06/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
07/07/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
22/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
01/08/20263rd5/287%0%-0.87