2

Appassionata

2yo Filly · 9-2

Yarmouth · British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 3y

#6

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Timeform

Commentary

Down the field both starts and looks one for the longer term.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1y Std 12820/0833 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 1281/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Wolverhampton37th7th0
2026-08-20Lingfield37th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
01/09/20267th125/10%25%+0.25