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5

I Am Royal

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 78

Yarmouth · British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kodiac colt who has made a promising start to his career with placed efforts at Brighton/Kempton and he's likely to progress further.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f215y Goo 13324/0844 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f Sta 1332/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton42nd4th−2
2026-08-24Brighton43rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18
02/09/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49