1

Asgar
2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 75
Yarmouth · 'GRC 30' Anniversary Of Yarmouth' Nursery · 7f 3y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |