1

Asgar

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 75

Yarmouth · 'GRC 30' Anniversary Of Yarmouth' Nursery · 7f 3y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left his Newbury debut behind when fourth of 6 at Goodwood (6f, soft) in June. Off 3 months after and subsequent mid-field effort at Kempton suggests he's ready for 7f. Gets that for this nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0544 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS7/0644 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS2/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton46th5th+1
2026-06-07Goodwood44th3rd+1
2026-05-15Newbury49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/057/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength74%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20269th12/137%11%-0.26
07/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
02/09/20266th15/261%55%-0.06