9
Kigali
2yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 67
Yarmouth · 'GRC 30' Anniversary Of Yarmouth' Nursery · 7f 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
250/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength62%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Sandown | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |