10

Lilywhite Hart

2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 67

Yarmouth · 'GRC 30' Anniversary Of Yarmouth' Nursery · 7f 3y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered something to work on in 6f maidens, fifth of 10 here last month. Allotted a stiff mark, as showcased by fact she ran right up to form when sixth at Newbury upped to 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f12y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0644 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/0744 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/0845 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 69 · 7f GF 129 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 69 par26/085OR 69projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Newbury56th6th0
2026-08-05Yarmouth45th4th+1
2026-07-17Newbury45th4th+1
2026-06-22Windsor49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0617/075/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/20269th66/10%33%+0.33
17/07/20265th100/10%60%+0.60
05/08/20265th100/10%56%+0.56
26/08/20266th66/10%62%+0.62