11

Mandolin Rain

2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 66

Yarmouth · 'GRC 30' Anniversary Of Yarmouth' Nursery · 7f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourth both starts last month at up to 1m but clearly needs to raise her game on this quick switch to handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Nottingham 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0843 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/083projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newmarket34th2nd+2
2026-08-03Nottingham44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0820/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
20/08/20264th10/382%40%-0.42