8
Arthur's Realm
8yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 74
Yarmouth · Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Nottingham | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Yarmouth | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Ripon | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 08/03/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |
| 29/03/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/05/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 19/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |