3

Hamlet's Night

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 80

Yarmouth · Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y

#4

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has done most of his racing over hurdles for this yard but was successful in this sphere at Kempton in February. Not seen to best effect at Musselburgh 2 months later and also a shade better than the result in the Swinton. This mark should be within range back from a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength77%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Stratford 06/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 1566/0944 @ Warwick 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 115 · 2m Goo 159 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 115 par2 @ Cheltenham 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 125 · 2m87y Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 125 par25/102OR 1251 @ Wincanton 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 129 · 1m7f50y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 129 par4 @ Kempton 18/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 76 · 1m2f219y Sta 130 · beat its mark18/02/2026 · OR 76 par18/024OR 762 @ Kelso 28/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 134 · 2m51y GS 165 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 134 par2 @ Plumpton 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 132 · 1m7f195y Goo 165 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 132 par5/042OR 1324 @ Musselburgh 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 80 · 1m4f104y Goo 130 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 80 par1 @ Haydock 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 130 · 1m7f144y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 130 par9/051OR 130projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-09Haydock111th7th+3
2026-04-26Musselburgh43rd3rd0
2026-04-05Plumpton25th3rd+2
2026-02-28Kelso211th9th+2
2026-02-18Kempton41st1st0
2025-11-08Wincanton12nd-2th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/098/115/049/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
23/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
25/10/20252nd6/168%75%+0.07
08/11/20252nd8/158%67%+0.09
18/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
28/02/202611th16/116%38%+0.22
05/04/20265th33/10%69%+0.69
26/04/20263rd11/893%75%-0.18
09/05/202611th28/10%33%+0.33