5
Kokanee
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 78
Yarmouth · Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/07/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 22% | -0.60 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |