2
Percival
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 80
Yarmouth · Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 16th | 14th | +2 |
| 2025-11-03 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2024 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 4/6 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 15/03/2026 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |