1
Bella Lyra
3yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 90
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Lingfield | 1 | 2nd | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Salisbury | 1 | 4th | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Ascot | 1 | 3rd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 09/06/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/06/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/08/2026 | 15th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |